What is cash burn?
Cash burn is the amount of cash a company actually loses over a period โ the drop in the bank balance between two dates, divided by the number of months. If the account shows $400K on March 1 and $340K on June 1, the company burned $60K over three months, or $20K per month. It is measured from the bank account, not the income statement.
That last part matters. Accounting profit and cash burn can tell opposite stories: a company can be profitable on paper while collections lag and cash drains, or loss-making while annual prepayments keep the account full. Cash burn is the number that decides survival, because payroll is paid from the bank, not from the P&L.
Cash burn vs. burn rate: are they the same?
In practice the terms overlap: burn rate usually refers to the monthly figure (gross or net), while cash burn refers to actual cash lost over a period. The cleanest way to connect them: cash burn measured over a period, divided by months, gives you your realized net burn rate.
The distinction is useful because budgets lie and bank accounts don't. Your spreadsheet may say net burn is $25K, but if the balance fell $90K in three months, your real cash burn is $30K a month โ and the $5K gap is exactly what you need to investigate.
The cash burn formula, step by step
Cash Burn (monthly) = (Cash at Period Start โ Cash at Period End) รท Number of Months. Three steps: pick a period of at least three months, read the balances from the actual bank statements (all accounts combined), and divide the difference by the months in between. If the result is negative, you added cash โ congratulations, you're cash-flow positive for that period.
Exclude financing events from the window: if a funding round, loan, or grant landed mid-period, subtract it from the ending balance before you compute. Otherwise a $500K round makes your burn look negative and hides the real spending trend.
Handling one-off and annual items
Raw bank movements are noisy: annual tool renewals, tax payments, legal fees for a funding round, or a laptop batch for new hires can spike a single month. For decision-making, keep two views โ actual cash burn (what really happened) and normalized cash burn, where one-off items are spread across the months they cover.
The practical rule: monthly-ize anything paid annually, and flag anything that won't recur within twelve months as one-off. Normalized burn is what you use for runway planning; actual burn is what you use to sanity-check that the plan matches reality.
Why a 3-month average beats a single month
A single month of cash burn is almost always misleading โ a delayed invoice or an annual renewal can swing it 40% in either direction. A rolling three-month average smooths the noise while staying responsive to real changes; six or twelve months show the long-term trend but react slowly to a new hire wave.
A useful routine: compute the 3-month average every month and compare it to the previous one. If the average rises two months in a row and no revenue growth explains it, the cost base has structurally grown โ that's the moment to look, not when the account runs low.
From cash burn to runway
The reason cash burn matters is the number it feeds: Runway (months) = Cash on Hand รท Monthly Cash Burn. With $240K in the bank and a normalized cash burn of $30K, you have 8 months to reach revenue milestones or the next round. Every decision that moves burn moves that clock.
If you want the calculation done for you, the free runway calculator on this site takes cash, monthly spend, and revenue, and returns your months of runway instantly โ a faster starting point than a spreadsheet.
Forecasting cash burn six months out
Historical burn tells you where you've been; the decisions ahead need a forward view. Build a simple six-month forecast: start from the current normalized burn, then layer in only the committed changes โ signed hires with start dates, contracted revenue with realistic collection dates, annual renewals falling in the window, and any planned one-offs like a marketing push or legal work for a round.
Keep it to one row per month in a spreadsheet and resist modeling hopes: a deal in negotiation is a bear-case note, not a forecast line. Then compare each month's actual against the forecast. A consistent 10โ15% overshoot is not noise โ it means the cost base grows in ways the plan doesn't capture, and that bias should be added to every future projection until it disappears.
A mini case: working through three bank statements
Take a concrete quarter. Balances: April 1, $412K; May 1, $394K; June 1, $371K; July 1, $322K. Raw burn: $18K, $23K, $49K. The June spike looks alarming until the statement shows a $21K annual insurance-and-tools renewal โ a one-off for this window. Normalized June burn is $28K, and the three-month normalized average lands at $23K per month.
Now the numbers can speak: runway is $322K รท $23K โ 14 months, not the 6.5 months the panicked June-only reading would suggest โ but the trend also shows burn creeping up $5K month over month, which deserves a question at the next monthly review. That's the whole discipline in miniature: normalize first, average second, then read the trend, in that order.
Experiencing cash burn in a simulation
In Founder Runway, the Cash metric moves with every decision โ hires, marketing pushes, enterprise deals with slow collections โ and you watch the burn compound turn by turn. It makes the difference between planned burn and realized burn visible in minutes instead of quarters.
It's a safe way to build the reflex this article describes: reading the cash trend early and acting before the account forces the decision for you.
Conclusion
Calculate cash burn from the bank balance, not the budget: (start cash โ end cash) รท months, with financing events excluded and one-offs normalized. Track the 3-month average monthly, and always translate it into runway. Cash burn is a fact; the budget is an opinion.
Frequently asked questions
How do you calculate cash burn?
Cash Burn (monthly) = (Cash at Period Start โ Cash at Period End) รท Number of Months, read from actual bank balances. Exclude funding rounds, loans, or grants that landed mid-period so they don't hide the real spending trend.
What is net cash burn?
Net cash burn is the cash that actually leaves the company after revenue: monthly spend minus monthly collections, or equivalently the period drop in bank balance divided by months. It's the number that drives runway โ gross burn shows the cost base, net burn shows survival speed.
What is the difference between cash burn and burn rate?
Burn rate usually refers to the monthly figure (gross or net), while cash burn is the actual cash lost over a period. Cash burn over a period, divided by months, gives your realized net burn rate โ the bank-account version of the budget number.
Should I use a monthly or 3-month cash burn?
Use a rolling 3-month average for decisions. A single month is distorted by one-off items like annual renewals or delayed invoices; three months smooths the noise while still reacting to real changes in the cost base.
How does cash burn affect runway?
Runway (months) = Cash on Hand รท Monthly Cash Burn. With $240K in cash and $30K monthly cash burn, you have 8 months of runway. Every decision that changes burn directly changes how much time the company has.
How do I forecast future cash burn?
Start from the current normalized burn and layer in only committed changes: signed hires, contracted revenue with realistic collection dates, annual renewals, and planned one-offs. Keep deals in negotiation out of the forecast, and track the actual-vs-forecast gap monthly to correct systematic bias.
What counts as a one-off expense in cash burn?
Anything that won't recur within twelve months: annual renewals, tax payments, legal fees for a funding round, equipment purchases. Spread annual items across the months they cover and flag true one-offs, so normalized burn reflects the real cost base rather than the noisiest month.
Do funding rounds count in cash burn?
No โ exclude them. If a round, loan, or grant landed mid-period, subtract it from the ending balance before computing. Otherwise the inflow makes burn look negative and hides the real spending trend exactly when you most need to see it.
Test this decision in the game.
Apply the same assumption across one run; which metric burned three turns later?